DETERMINANTS OF INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE 1990-2020

Abstract

This research was conducted to determine the effect and relationship between exchange rate, GDP, inflation, exports and foreign exchange on Indonesian government expenditure in 1990-2020. The data used in this study is annual data or time series. The data in this study were obtained from Bank Indonesia, the World Bank, the Central Statistics Agency and the Indonesian Ministry of Finance. This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) method and is processed using Eviews10 software. By using the Maximum Lag Dependent lag of 2. The value of the ECM (Error Correction Regression) test results shows that there is an effect in the short term. From the R-square value, all variables have a correlation of 99% and as much as 1% of the data is explained by variables outside the study. While the results of the test using the ARDL method, the variables that have a long-term effect on government spending are the exchange rate and Gross Domestic Product (GDP).